A tale of victory:
The child squirmed as the small two-pronged needle penetrated his arm and started to cry. With a dexterity born from a long experience, the volunteer adjusted his grip and quickly jabbed the needle five more times before nodding to the mother. Behind her, the whole village had lined up in the October heat of the Southern Bangladesh island, patiently waiting for their turn to be vaccinated.
A few hundred yards from there, the two year old Rahima Banu Begum turned in her feverish sleep. She had been diagnosed with a case of variola major, the most virulent form of smallpox, and now the race was on to vaccinate has many people has possible to protect them from the infection. The strategy was to quickly encircle the outbreak into a cordon of immune subjects that, like a firebreak to the fire of the epidemic, interrupt its transmission to the rest of the country. This approach had been devised in Central Africa by William Foege and had been proven very successful in the past. It was to be again this time: the year was 1975 and young Rahima was to be the last person ever to be infected in a wild outbreak of variola major. Then, two years later, Ali Maow Maalin, a 23 years old cook and volunteer vaccinator from Somalia would be the last person to be infected by a natural outbreak of variola minor. Apart from the tragic laboratory accident that would claim the life of Janet Parker in 1978, this would be the last time that an outbreak of smallpox would be observed on the surface of the world.
And there it was. Smallpox, the disease that had been plaguing mankind for at least 5000 years, the disease that once claimed the life of own in 7 European child and that of more than 300 millions people in the 20th century alone –three times the death toll of the black plague, smallpox was gone.
This, however, was only one of vaccination remarkable successes. In 1952, for example, the year Jonas Salk first tested his polio vaccine, 38,000 cases of infection by the virus were reported in the U.S alone, killing thousands and leaving more than 20,000 disabled. Today, vaccinations has allowed this number to drop to about a thousand case annually reported world-wide, mainly from developing countries in Africa and Asia were the vaccination efforts is impaired by war and extreme poverty.
Measles were also fought back: In the decade before the measles vaccination program began, an estimated 3–4 million cases were reported each year in the United States resulting in 400 to 500 fatalities and thousands of people left disabled from the encephalitis. Nowadays, these numbers have been driven down to the mere hundreds of new cases annually and it is considered that the virus is no longer endemic in the U.S.
Similarly, diphtheria which once claimed 13,000 to 15,000 life annually (out of 100,000 to 200,000 cases) has only been reported about twice annually in the 2000.
And, for many pathogens, herd immunity has been achieved (herd immunity is the idea that if a high enough proportion of the population is immune to a pathogen, the pathogen will not be able to find a susceptible host to infect before being cleared from its present host and, hence, any epidemic will be unable to take hold and will die of quickly).
The autism controversy:
And yet these successes bore the seed of today’s crisis: We got complacent. In just two generations we have forgotten the time of our parents and grand-parents when every child could point you at the tombs of half a dozen former playmates, when infections were an all too real and tangible part of life. We have become complacent and forgot of the enemy that was only asleep.
The anti-vaccination movement is nothing new, of course, even Jenner’s first experiments with vaccinia were met with suspicion. And, if this movement subsided once confronted with the incredible successes that vaccination brought (in the 50’s, the figure of Jonas Salk, developer of the Polio vaccine, was both famous and celebrated) it never completely went away. For example, some conservative sects, such as the Quakers, did oppose the use of vaccine on religious grounds since the beginning (they perceived it as a attempt to circumvent God’s wrathful judgment) and some have still to change their stance on the subject. At the opposite end of the spectrum, in the 70ies, anti-establishment and a desire to go back to nature fed a small drop in vaccine rates among the most liberal minded segment of the population.
But this drop was short live and today’s anti-vaccination movement, gaining speed mostly since the late 90ies, centers around the problem of autism.
Autism is actually only one aspect of a family of related conditions that constitute what is now defined as the ‘Austim spectrum disorder’. These conditions are characterized with a variable degree of impaired socialization and communication. Development is also impaired and, in some cases, the autistic patient is limited to a restrictive pattern of behavior, often limited and repetitive. In the case of Asperger syndrome, these limitations actually often lead to very specialized interest for the patient that can, in fact, end up being quite brilliant in his field of choice.
As we can see, the definition of these conditions is quite vague, and relies heavily on the subjective opinion of the practitioner. Indeed, it has been argued that autism was more a matter of degrees than a black and white condition, with some people being further on the autistic spectrum than other and only the most severe cases being an actual handicap. As an anti-social nerd I can see merit in this definition.
There are real practical consequences to this definition problem: it is known that the prevalence of autism (the number of known cases of autism) is greatly increasing every year and was rose by more than 5 times from 1997 to 2007, rising the fears of an ‘epidemic of autism’ and the anti-vaccination movement has been very fond of blaming this rise in prevalence on vaccines. In fact, it is often considered that the current anti-vaccination movement was launched by the study by Andrew Wakefield et al., published in 1998, by the prestigious British medical journal “The Lancet” that linked MMR vaccination to a collection of bowel symptoms as well as to the development autism. Presumably, according to Wakefield, the vaccine was causing breach in the gastro-intestinal barriers through which toxin could enter and damage the neurological system.
It has since been revealed that Dr. Wakefield’s studies were funded by a group of lawyer engaged in a class action lawsuit against vaccine manufacturers, an obvious conflict of interest that Dr. Wakefield failed to reveal at the time. Even worse, it was soon made clear that he discarded and falsified data to suit his hypothesis. Nowadays, 10 out of 12 of the original authors of the study have retracted themselves from its conclusion. Furthermore, as of early February 2010, the Lancet officially retracted the article from the published record, and, really, they can’t do much more to acknowledge their initial mistake without offering every one of their reader flowers and a nice dinner. Despite this some people are still heralding Wakefield as some scientific hero and not only putting trust in his work, but actually preferring it versus the consensus of the rest of the scientific establishment.
Another suspected link between vaccination and autism is the ethylmercury thimerosal (sometime spelled thiomersal), a preservative added to some vaccine preparation until the late 90ies. Because dimethylmercury is a very nasty neurotoxin, some people have suspected the thimerosal in vaccine of being a cause of autism. Indeed, in 1998 and 1999, the FDA recommended as a precautionary measure, its replacement in vaccine products. A statement that the anti-vaccine movement sometime claim as a vindication of their agenda. Of course, there is quite a lot of problem with that theory. First of all, as said, thimerosal is a different compound than dimethylmercury, with different proprieties: mainly, it does not accumulate in the organism and, has such, should not be able to cause problems. Also, even after a full vaccination regiment, the total amount of mercury a vaccination would bring would be insignificant compared to that obtained through the diet, especially one rich in seafood. Furthemore, the neurological damage caused by mercury poisoning –mostly memory loss, insomnia and emotional instability- are well known and characterized and have nothing to do with any of the symptoms of autism. Finally, thimerosal has been withdrawn from vaccine products in the United States since the early 2000, and does not seem to have ever been incorporated in the MMR vaccine that so often seems blamed for autism (CDC). If really it was the cause in the spike of autism, the so-called autism epidemic, one would expect this “epidemic” to stop and yet, it didn’t even slow down (Gerber and Offit). Nowadays aluminium, than sometime replace thimerosal in the vaccines, is often charged with having the effect once attributed to mercury, but with even less logic behind it…
One last rationalization by the anti-vaccination movement is the idea of “vaccine overload”, the concept that injecting so many different antigen in such a relatively short lapse of time will burn out the immune system. This idea is flawed in several ways. First of all, it illustrates a misunderstanding of how the immune system works: antigens are captured and exposed to circulating T and B cells. The ones whose surface receptors correspond to the antigen will be activated, improve their specificity for the antigen and become longer lived. There is, indeed, a phase called ‘clonal expansion’, in which the number of cells does, in fact, increase but this increase generates between 10,000 to 100,000 new cells. It may sounds like a lot until you compare it to the 4 to 10 billions of white blood cells normally present in a liter of blood. Furthermore, the fact is that, while the number of different vaccines child are getting immunized against, grow regularly, our technology and understanding of the immune system grow even faster. In effect, this allow to obtain protection with lower and lower doses of the antigen and the amount of antigens delivered in the fourteen vaccines administered to U.S. children in 2009 correspond to less than 10% of what it was in the seven vaccines given in 1980 (Gerber and Offit). In fact, the immune system is always confronted to a number of antigens. Every molecule of a significant size that make it to the blood is treated by the immune system as a potential risk. This is the reason why any prolonged exposure to such an antigen might result to allergy problems. Compared to this myriad of antigens, the ones contained in the vaccines are insignificant in term of load on the immune system, it is estimated than a children get confronted to les new antigens over the course of a full vaccine regiment than he will encounter in one normal day (Gerber and Offit). And, of course, the anti-vaccine movement has yet to explain the relationship between the immune system and the neural system that would explain the development of autism.
In reality, there is no scientific reason to believe that vaccination would cause autism. There is no theorical basis on how vaccine, either their immunological component or any adjuvant, would interfere with the development of synaptic connection. From an empiric point of view, no practical association was ever found between vaccine children and the development of autism. Wakefield still claims to have found such correlation, both in his 1998 paper and in later articles, but so far, he has failed to convince even a small portion of the scientific establishment. On the contrary, the 2004 consensus report by the Immunization Safety Review Committee found no such link (Unknwon).
In fact, there is no particular reason to blame vaccine for the seemingly rise in autism prevalence in the last decade. It is not like autism is the only factor that changed. After all, Jim Carrey started his cinematographic carrier in 1983 and, as far as we know, there is just as much reason to consider the rise in autism to be due to an increase exposure to Jim Carrey’s antics rather than to vaccines. Indeed, while many studies have been conducted that show no relationship between vaccine and autism, I am not aware of any such study clearing Mr. Carrey…
In reality, we don’t even know that autism prevalence has really been rising: when we look at the rate of autism constant among all age class, we found it to be grossly constant (Brugha, McManus et al.). However, if the 5 fold increase prevalence was due to an increase in incidence, young children getting the condition, you would have expect a much larger proportion of children under 10 to have it. Because this rate is constant among class age, the increase in prevalence is most likely not due to new children developing the disease. As was said, the definition of autism is fluid and subjective and it is very likely that the observed rise in autism prevalence is most likely due to physician increase willingness to diagnose somebody as being on the autistic spectrum.
It is a bit like government sometime do, hardening the criteria for being classified as ‘unemployed’ or increasing the poverty threshold and then parading how successful they were at stomping out unemployed and poverty…
The current anti-vaccine movement:
Of course, this lack of evidence does not stop the very dedicated anti-vaccination movement. Indeed, the lack of allegiance to one explanation as to how vaccine would cause autism is quite revealing. In contrast with the methods of science that builds hypothesis and then test them against facts, anti-vaccers start from their conclusions, that vaccines are evil and cause autism and then make-up post-hoc rationalizing for their belief. In this aspect, they are not different from any number of apologetic and denier movements.
Let’s make it clear here that, in most cases, the core-members of the anti-vaccination movement are absolutely sincere in their beliefs. In some sad case, blaming the vaccine is a coping mechanism, a release for the anger and guilt felt upon the diagnosis (Fortier and Wanlass). Yet, this sincerity does not change the fact that this position has no backing in science. This is particularly of concern because that anti-vaccine movement has been able to gain a wide-spread audience.
When Actress and vaccine activist Jenny McCarthy participated to the “help our vaccine” protest, more than 8500 people assembled beside her and she has since been given her own talk-show, giving her not only access to an even more massive audience but an additional credibility to her message.
And that is the crux of the problem, as long as the anti-vaccine crowd was a tiny minority, they were protected behind a cordon of herd immunity. The pathogens, to simplify, could not find a susceptible carrier to arrive to the non-vaccinated children. But now, the number of un-vaccinated children is rising, all because of a fear that has no basis in facts. Right now, the drop in vaccination rate has reached the point where it, in place, is starting to compromise herd immunity. The number of children coming off with disease they should have been vaccinated against is rising regularly and we are starting to see the first fatalities (Farley) (a fact that the anti-vaccers like Jenny McCarthy do not contest but consider an acceptable price for their ill-conceived crusade (Kluger). And it might become even worse. Of course, the days of old, when infections where rampants and claiming the life of many children, will not come back. Of course the public we remember the usefulness of vaccines long before we reach that point, the problem is: how long is it going to take and how many more children will have to die an easily preventable deaths before it happens?
All for a fear that has no basis in facts. All of this because we have become complacent and let ourselves forgot the days of rampant infections.
Here are some of the references I used:
Brugha, T., S. McManus, et al. (2009). Autism Spectrum Disorders in adults living in households throughout England Report from the Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey 2007, National Statistics - NHS.
CDC (2009). "Understanding MMR vaccine safety."
Farley, T. (2010). "What's the harm in vaccine denial?" Retrieved Feb. 2010, from http://whatstheharm.net/vaccinedenial.html.
Fortier, L. M. and R. L. Wanlass (1984). "Family Crisis following the Diagnosis of a Handicapped Child." Family Relations 33(1): 13-24.
Gerber, Jeffrey S. and Paul A. Offit (2009). "Vaccines and Autism: A Tale of Shifting Hypotheses." Clinical Infectious Diseases 48(4): 456-461.
Kluger, J. (2009). "Jenny McCarthy on Autism and Vaccines." Time.
Unknwon (2004). Immunization Safety Review - Vaccine and Autism, Immunization Safety Review Committee